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Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.On the analysis of the daily limit at noon on December 10, the Shanghai Composite Index opened higher and fell back by 1.58%, and the half-day turnover of the two cities exceeded 1.5 trillion. Yiming food has 11 boards, and Taier shares have 9 boards. You can understand one picture > >Reserve Bank of Australia: You can't say when you have confidence in inflation. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock said that you can't say when you have confidence in inflation, but the Committee has noticed weak data. Our forecast does show that inflation will slow down. If this happens, there will be a moment when we will be confident enough that inflation will return to the target range and start to relax interest rates. We will observe the upcoming data before the meeting in February next year and evaluate what these data mean for inflation and whether we can achieve our forecast.

Broad-based index products are expected to increase the Y share of personal pension, and personal pension products are expected to expand after the second anniversary of the personal pension system. It is understood that mainstream broad-based index products are expected to increase the personal pension Y share, including Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, CSI A500 Index, GEM Index and other products, which can provide investors with more allocation needs. (SSE)Morgan Stanley published a research report that Jingdong Logistics management predicted that the net profit growth in FY 2024 would increase by 49% year-on-year, far exceeding the bank's expected 30% increase. As for the profit growth forecast for next year, it is 9% year-on-year. The bank also believes that the acquisition of Jingdong Logistics across the remaining rights and interests of Express is positive and is expected to have further synergy. Morgan Stanley set the target price of H shares of Jingdong Logistics at HK$ 13.1, giving it a rating of "keeping pace with the market".Reserve Bank of Australia: You can't say when you have confidence in inflation. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock said that you can't say when you have confidence in inflation, but the Committee has noticed weak data. Our forecast does show that inflation will slow down. If this happens, there will be a moment when we will be confident enough that inflation will return to the target range and start to relax interest rates. We will observe the upcoming data before the meeting in February next year and evaluate what these data mean for inflation and whether we can achieve our forecast.

With the return of high dividend assets, the market pays attention to the investment value of dividend sector. The Standard & Poor's dividend ETF(562060) rose by 1.07% at midday. By midday on December 10th, the standard & poor's dividend ETF(562060) rose by 1.07%, with a turnover of 20,646,600 yuan. The constituent stocks rose strongly, with Yongxing Materials rising by 3.73%, Aopu Technology rising by 2.12%, Lu 'an Huaneng rising by 2%, Gaoce shares and Jianfa shares rising one after another. In the news, recently, the strong performance of China bond market led to the decline of the yield of 10-year treasury bonds, which fell below the key point of 2.0%, and the dividend assets in the A-share market ushered in an upward trend. Insiders pointed out that the decline in the cost performance of bond allocation is a long-term dimensional reason for supporting the dominance of the dividend sector. With the continuous decline of the yield of 10-year treasury bonds, institutional investors' confirmation of the long-term low interest rate environment will be conducive to the continuous excavation of the value of dividend assets.The Syrian opposition said it would hunt down and punish "those who committed crimes against the Syrian people". Syrian opposition leader Giulani announced on the morning of 10th local time that it would hunt down and punish "those who committed crimes against the Syrian people". Giulani said in a statement that he would "resolutely liquidate the criminals, murderers, military and security officials involved in torturing the Syrian people" and "pursue war criminals and pursue them to the countries where they fled until they are justly punished". The statement also said that the first "list of ringleaders who tortured the Syrian people" will be released soon, and those who provide information about senior military and security officials involved in the crime will be rewarded. (CCTV News)Goldman Sachs: It is expected that the output of OPEC+will still depend on the data, and it is assumed that the output of OPEC+will increase for four consecutive months from next July under the strong demand in summer. It is estimated that India's oil demand will increase by 300,000 barrels per day next year, accounting for nearly 30% of the global oil demand growth.